Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.599142e-03 0.001764 0.001930 0.002107 0.002292 0.002479 0.002681
2025-02-23 1.233384e-03 0.001473 0.001722 0.001998 0.002293 0.002598 0.002935
2025-03-02 9.784783e-04 0.001269 0.001581 0.001936 0.002325 0.002735 0.003197
2025-03-09 8.040407e-04 0.001132 0.001496 0.001920 0.002394 0.002902 0.003482
2025-03-16 6.791485e-04 0.001036 0.001445 0.001932 0.002486 0.003087 0.003780
2025-03-23 5.995340e-04 0.000984 0.001436 0.001985 0.002619 0.003312 0.004118
2025-03-30 5.175177e-04 0.000920 0.001407 0.002009 0.002712 0.003491 0.004401
2025-04-06 4.405333e-04 0.000854 0.001369 0.002018 0.002785 0.003641 0.004651
2025-04-13 3.728904e-04 0.000792 0.001331 0.002023 0.002850 0.003781 0.004885
2025-04-20 3.070054e-04 0.000726 0.001283 0.002010 0.002891 0.003890 0.005082
2025-04-27 2.500007e-04 0.000665 0.001237 0.001997 0.002929 0.003993 0.005270
2025-05-04 2.273929e-04 0.000654 0.001254 0.002062 0.003058 0.004200 0.005575
2025-05-11 2.100109e-04 0.000652 0.001288 0.002153 0.003225 0.004461 0.005951
2025-05-18 1.384391e-04 0.000549 0.001178 0.002058 0.003167 0.004458 0.006027
2025-05-25 9.038063e-05 0.000474 0.001102 0.002003 0.003155 0.004507 0.006160
2025-06-01 6.070067e-05 0.000426 0.001061 0.001991 0.003193 0.004614 0.006360
2025-06-08 4.146730e-05 0.000394 0.001040 0.002005 0.003263 0.004758 0.006602
2025-06-15 3.175254e-05 0.000383 0.001051 0.002060 0.003384 0.004963 0.006914
2025-06-22 2.013618e-05 0.000359 0.001040 0.002085 0.003465 0.005119 0.007169
2025-06-29 1.009156e-05 0.000331 0.001019 0.002094 0.003526 0.005250 0.007393
2025-07-06 3.368370e-06 0.000303 0.000997 0.002099 0.003581 0.005374 0.007608
2025-07-13 4.952025e-08 0.000270 0.000962 0.002086 0.003612 0.005466 0.007786
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000240 0.000929 0.002073 0.003641 0.005556 0.007959